Brian J Goggin

On Mon, 30 Jun 2008 22:12:35 +0100, Dave Mayall
<david.mayall@ukonline.co.uk> wrote:

>It is a sample, a (pseudo)random group of individuals, that I have
>observed on numerous occasions in stressed situations, and noted their
>responses to those situations.

That doesn't make it a sample. What is the population? How was the
"sample" selected? And what is the relationship between the Ashton
group and the population? (You need not answer those questions.)

Your approach is equivalent to an assertion that, because a
50-year-old man once robbed a bank, all 50-year-olds should be charged
with something because, being 50, they're bound to have committed some
sort of crime.

>It is clear to me that there is no realistic prospect that any
>enquiries, however thorough will find evidence to refute the central
>planks of my theory about the incident.

Gracious. Does this mean that you're able to predict the entire course
of an investigation, or just that no evidence will change your mind?

bjg