Luck versus odds On May 8, 11:47 am, Patrick <dickens12...m> wrote:
> Although my mind knows better, my heart seems to tell a different
> tale...
>
> Most gamblers seem to subscribe to some sort of momentum, or "run".
> You see poker players talking about going on a lucky run, blackjack
> and craps players talk about how "hot" or "cold" a dealer or table is,
> and even baccarat players tracking results to hopefully "predict"
> future outcomes.
>
> It all seems to fly in the face of true probability and odds, but most
> of us have seen it ourselves. I've played entire shoes where the
> dealer always seems to get the better of me, and other shoes where it
> seems I cannot lose a hand. So - as fallacious as "streakiness" is -
> it DOES seem to exist.
>
> Or does it?
They exist, alright: in hindsight.
The trick would be to PREDICT a streak, then surf it.
I know that at a craps table, if a player is hitting a lot of numbers
and not sevening out, that's the time to think about becoming more
aggressive.
roll dem bones |